Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.12
assuming max odds 1.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 49.29%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 50.71%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +4.50%E +2.12%K +4.02%G +0.181% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -11.26%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.50%E +2.12%K +4.02%G +0.181% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.77%E -6.76%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.50%E +2.12%K +4.02%G +0.181% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.77%E -6.76%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.50%E +2.12%K +4.02%G +0.181% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.77%E -6.76%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.51%E +1.67%K +3.19%G +0.112% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.51%E +1.67%K +3.19%G +0.112% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.42%E -0.708%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.91%E -0.959%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.12%E -0.574%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 23:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-15 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 21:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 14:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.87%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.20%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 20:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 23:38 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 23:35 |