Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-07-30 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 2–1 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 51.05%1.96odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.17%51.05%52.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.861.871.9155.25%53.64%53.48%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 48.95%2.04odd justa
EV +1.33%
Vantagem +0.641%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.19%48.83%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.961.952.0753.48%51.15%51.28%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 51.05%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 48.95%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.07, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +1.33%E +0.641%K +1.24%G +0.016%2.4%2026-07-30 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV +0.838%E +0.407%K +0.790%G +0.007%2.6%2026-07-30 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV +0.838%E +0.407%K +0.790%G +0.007%2.6%2026-07-30 18:10
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.348%E +0.170%K +0.332%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-30 18:09
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.141%E -0.069%K -0.136%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-30 18:09
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.141%E -0.069%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.631%E -0.311%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-30 18:00
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.61%E -0.801%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -1.61%E -0.801%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 17:59
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 16:48
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 14:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 18:10
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.07%E -3.30%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 18:08
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.05%E -2.71%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.08%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.08%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -3.57%E -1.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -3.57%E -1.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 18:10
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 18:09
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-30 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 16:13
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 03:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 07:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 12:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 15:50
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:05
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:05
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 17:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.02%E -3.13%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 18:10
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 15:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.05%E -2.71%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 17:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 09:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.05%E -2.71%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 15:34
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 17:58
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 17:58
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.56%E -3.00%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 17:44
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.60%E -4.20%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.46%E -4.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.24%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.76%-0.4%2026-07-30 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-30 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-30 18:05
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-30 18:10
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-30 18:10
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-30 18:10
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-30 18:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-30 18:10
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-07-30 18:10