Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees

2026-07-30 18:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 50.88%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.87%50.86%52.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9355.56%53.28%53.19%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 49.12%2.04momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.75%49.13%49.14%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.931.931.9954.05%51.78%51.81%50.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.80%E -0.932%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 21:29
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.80%E -0.932%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 20:15
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.80%E -0.932%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 20:15
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.80%E -0.932%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 20:15
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.80%E -0.932%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 00:05
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.82%E -1.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 02:45
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 19:55
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:15
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:24
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 20:15
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:20
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:20
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:20
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:15
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:14
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:45
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 20:20
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 02:14
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 02:10
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:15
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:20
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:20
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 20:15
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 20:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 20:15
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 20:19
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 20:15
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:45
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 20:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 20:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:15
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 20:20
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 20:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:45
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 20:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-30 01:55
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-30 01:20
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.6%2026-07-30 02:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-30 02:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%3.4%2026-07-30 02:30
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%8.7%2026-07-30 02:50