Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v New York Mets

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 2–1 New York Mets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%50.07%50.00%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.911.9854.64%52.38%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%49.93%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.911.9854.64%52.38%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 50.00%; New York Mets (Visit): 50.00%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.00%E -0.505%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 18:04
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 15:00
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 14:29
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:29
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 18:04
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 18:09
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.00%E -0.505%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 13:20
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.00%E -0.505%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 18:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 18:08
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 18:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 15:39
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 18:04
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 17:13
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:15
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 15:00
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 15:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 03:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:14
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:14
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 18:04
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:14
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 15:00
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:09
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:05
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 15:44
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-08-23 18:09
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-23 17:44
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-23 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-23 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-23 17:50
BetOpenly1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-08-23 18:04
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-23 17:14
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-23 17:14
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-08-23 18:09