Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 4–5 Kansas City Royals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 55.27%1.81fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%55.25%55.27%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7860.61%58.04%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd
EV -0.704%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -0.577%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.75%44.73%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.56%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 55.27%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 44.73%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.704%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.05%E -0.934%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-28 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.05%E -0.934%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-28 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.94%E -1.35%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.94%E -1.35%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 18:10
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.17%E -1.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.05%E -0.934%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 17:49
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.72%E -1.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.704%E -0.317%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 16:10
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.72%E -1.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.72%E -1.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.72%E -1.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:09
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.15%E -0.521%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 18:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 05:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:10
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:58
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 16:10
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:19
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:10
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 18:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:09
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.94%E -1.35%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.94%E -1.35%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.94%E -1.35%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.94%E -1.35%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 17:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.86%E -3.82%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 17:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 15:49
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.25%E -4.97%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 05:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-06-28 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-28 18:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-06-28 18:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-28 15:39
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-28 16:10
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-06-28 18:10