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Chicago White Sox v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Prediction 48.51%2.06fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.49%48.41%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.962.0152.36%50.83%51.02%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 51.49%1.94fair odd
EV -0.109%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.116%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%51.51%51.59%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9455.56%53.89%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 48.51%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 51.49%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.942. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.940, with an expected value of -0.109%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -2.49%E -1.24%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.14%E -0.593%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.65%E -0.866%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.65%E -0.866%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.65%E -0.866%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.20%E -1.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 19:57 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.77%E -3.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.32%E -4.07%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.98%E -1.49%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.32%E -4.07%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.624%E -0.323%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 23:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.14%E -0.593%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.95%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.624%E -0.323%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.95%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.95%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.95%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.95%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.77%E -3.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.95%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.29%E -3.46%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.44%E -2.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.20%E -1.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.44%E -2.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.44%E -2.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.44%E -2.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.26%E -2.86%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.44%E -2.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.26%E -2.86%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.44%E -2.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.32%E -4.07%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.109%E -0.056%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.23%E -2.27%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.26%E -2.86%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.26%E -2.86%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.32%E -4.07%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.77%E -3.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.77%E -3.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.77%E -3.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.77%E -3.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.32%E -4.07%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.89%E -3.04%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.20%E -1.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.38%E -3.30%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.74%E -2.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.77%E -3.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 23:10 |