Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 6–5 Kansas City Royals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 49.13%2.04fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%49.03%49.20%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.951.952.0052.91%51.33%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 50.87%1.97fair odd
EV -0.806%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.97%50.80%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.54%53.62%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 49.13%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 50.87%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.806%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.74%E -0.869%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 22:34
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.23%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.82%E -0.945%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.82%E -0.945%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.82%E -0.945%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:35
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.82%E -0.945%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:35
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.82%E -0.945%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:40
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.806%E -0.413%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-13 20:15
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.82%E -0.945%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.21%E -1.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:10
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:09
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:10
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:09
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.70%E -1.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 22:09
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.806%E -0.413%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 20:20
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 22:39
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 22:45
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:45
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:24
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 04:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.16%E -3.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.16%E -3.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 04:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.22%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 23:27
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -7.14%E -3.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 49.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.75%-0.5%2026-05-13 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%0.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-13 17:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-05-13 23:35
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%9.0%2026-05-13 23:40