The School of Odds

Chicago White Sox v Houston Astros

2026-07-25 23:11 UTC — MLB

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Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 53.11%1.88fair odd
EV +0.902%
Edge +0.475%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.94%53.25%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.801.9058%55%56%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 46.89%2.13fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.06%46.75%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1053%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.902%E +0.475%K +1.00%G +0.009%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.90%E -5.74%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 18:05
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.22%E -0.657%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 18:55
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -1.22%E -0.657%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 18:05
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 18:05
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.52%E -0.725%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 18:45
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.99%E -0.953%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.99%E -0.953%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 18:45
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 19:49
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 18:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 19:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 18:48
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:15
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:15
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 18:05
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 18:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.96%E -5.19%K -10.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 18:49
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.66%E -5.03%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.90%E -5.74%K -12.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-24 18:05
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%7.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%9.9%2026-07-24 18:50