Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-12 23:40 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 5–0 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 57.55%1.74odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.927%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.70%57.61%57.64%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.661.7162.50%60.17%60.24%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 42.45%2.36odd justa
EV -0.249%
Vantagem -0.106%
Kelly -0.184%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.39%42.36%43.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.262.252.3546.30%44.34%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 57.55%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 42.45%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.35, com valor esperado de -0.249%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.58%E -0.927%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.58%E -0.927%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.16%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.16%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 23:35
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.16%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.95%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 14:54
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.249%E -0.106%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-12 19:58
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 19:14
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.673%E -0.288%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 20:45
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.95%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 20:44
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.07%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 22:39
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 15:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 23:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:40
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.64%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:25
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:25
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:24
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 14:59
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 23:30
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.07%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 22:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:09
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 16:30
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:49
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:39
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 14:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 23:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 23:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.76%E -4.18%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.89%E -3.64%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-08-12 23:35
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-12 23:30
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-12 21:30
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-12 23:35
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-12 12:55
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-12 14:59
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-08-12 23:30