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Chicago White Sox v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Predicción 57.55%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.927%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%57.61%57.64%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7162.50%60.17%60.24%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 42.45%2.36momio equitativo
EV -0.249%
Ventaja -0.106%
Kelly -0.184%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.39%42.36%43.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.162.262.252.3546.30%44.34%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago White Sox (Local): 57.55%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 42.45%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.36. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.35, con un valor esperado de -0.249%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.58%E -0.927%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.58%E -0.927%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.16%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.16%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.16%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.95%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.249%E -0.106%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-12 19:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.673%E -0.288%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.95%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 20:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.07%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 15:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.52%E -0.656%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 14:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.64%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.07%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 14:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 23:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.76%E -4.18%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.85%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.89%E -3.64%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 12:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |