Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-13 17:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 8–9 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 55.28%1.81odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.897%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.52%55.17%55.27%56.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.731.731.7860.24%57.68%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 44.72%2.24odd justa
EV +0.614%
Vantagem +0.273%
Kelly +0.491%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.61%44.83%44.73%46.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.132.142.2549.50%46.92%46.73%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 55.28%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 44.72%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.24. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.614%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.614%E +0.273%K +0.491%G +0.003%1.9%2026-08-13 17:05
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.614%E +0.273%K +0.491%G +0.003%1.9%2026-08-13 17:03
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.281%E -0.126%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-13 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.17%E -0.532%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.17%E -0.532%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.17%E -0.532%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.60%E -0.897%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-13 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-13 05:19
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.07%E -0.945%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-13 16:54
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.52%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.96%E -1.37%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.96%E -1.37%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-13 13:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 17:09
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 16:59
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 16:09
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:07
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 16:24
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:05
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:05
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 17:04
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.75%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.60%E -0.897%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 16:38
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 16:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 16:54
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 13:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 17:09
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 12:45
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:04
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.23%E -4.96%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.88%E -3.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 17:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.60%E -0.897%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:04
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 17:03
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 16:59
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 15:19
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.67%E -4.79%K -9.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-13 17:05
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-12 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-13 17:05
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-13 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-08-13 17:09
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-13 17:09