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Chicago White Sox v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Predicción 55.28%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.897%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.52%55.17%55.27%56.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.731.731.7860.24%57.68%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 44.72%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.614%
Ventaja +0.273%
Kelly +0.491%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.61%44.83%44.73%46.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.132.142.2549.50%46.92%46.73%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago White Sox (Local): 55.28%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 44.72%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.24. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.614%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.614%E +0.273%K +0.491%G +0.003% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.614%E +0.273%K +0.491%G +0.003% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 17:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.281%E -0.126%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.17%E -0.532%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.17%E -0.532%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.17%E -0.532%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.60%E -0.897%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.62%E -0.737%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 05:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.07%E -0.945%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-13 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.52%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.96%E -1.37%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.96%E -1.37%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 16:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.75%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.60%E -0.897%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-13 16:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.23%E -4.96%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.88%E -3.83%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.60%E -0.897%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 17:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.67%E -4.79%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |