La scuola delle quote

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-05-16 23:11 UTC

Finale: Chicago White Sox 8–3 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Casa)

Previsione 50.24%1.99quota equa
EV -0.533%
Vantaggio -0.269%
Kelly -0.544%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.03%50.36%50.00%52.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.911.911.9856.82%52.24%52.36%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.76%2.01quota equa
EV +0.026%
Vantaggio +0.013%
Kelly +0.025%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.75%49.64%50.00%51.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.911.912.0154.64%52.49%52.36%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:01
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:01
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:00
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.472%E -0.236%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 17:49
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.970%E -0.487%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 20:45
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.47%E -0.741%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 22:30
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.04%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.96%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.96%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 23:05
BetAnything1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 21:35
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.56%E -3.53%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 22:35
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:45
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 22:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:15
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 04:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 23:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 02:24
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:15
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 21:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:15
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:09
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:35
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.94%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 21:20
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.04%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.94%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.58%E -6.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 21:20
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.533%E -0.269%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:20
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.533%E -0.269%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-16 23:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-05-16 23:05
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%3.4%2026-05-16 23:10