L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 23:11 UTC

Score final : Chicago White Sox 8–3 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 50.24%1.99cote équitable
EV -0.533%
Avantage -0.269%
Kelly -0.544%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.03%50.36%50.00%52.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.911.911.9856.82%52.24%52.36%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.76%2.01cote équitable
EV +0.026%
Avantage +0.013%
Kelly +0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.75%49.64%50.00%51.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.911.912.0154.64%52.49%52.36%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:01
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:01
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.026%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:00
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.472%E -0.236%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 17:49
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.970%E -0.487%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 20:45
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.47%E -0.741%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 22:30
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.04%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.96%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.96%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 23:05
BetAnything1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 21:35
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.56%E -3.53%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 22:35
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:45
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 22:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:15
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 21:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 04:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 23:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 02:24
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:15
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 21:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:15
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:09
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 22:35
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.94%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 21:20
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.04%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.94%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.58%E -6.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 21:20
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.55%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.533%E -0.269%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:20
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.533%E -0.269%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-16 23:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-05-16 23:05
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%3.4%2026-05-16 23:10