The School of Odds

Chicago White Sox v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 0–5 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 49.86%2.01fair odd
EV +0.213%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.85%50.00%50.00%52.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.912.0154.95%52.46%52.36%49.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 50.14%1.99fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +3.11%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.58%50.00%50.00%51.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.841.911.912.0654.35%52.24%52.36%48.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV +3.29%E +1.60%K +3.11%G +0.102%2.0%2026-07-08 10:10
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.22%E -0.619%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:20
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:15
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 21:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 21:15
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 13:55
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:19
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.28%E -1.16%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 22:50
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.78%E -0.904%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.78%E -0.904%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:40
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.78%E -0.904%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 21:14
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:15
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:15
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:15
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:15
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:15
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:15
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.22%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 21:25
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV +0.213%E +0.106%K +0.211%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-08 23:30
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 22:00
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:15
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:15
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:15
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -7.27%E -3.91%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:39
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.28%E -1.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:55
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:55
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 20:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 20:59
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 17:50
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:40
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 18:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 20:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:05
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:04
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.23%E -2.77%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 23:38
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:33
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 21:14
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -9.26%E -5.09%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 23:38
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:34
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:39
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.73%E -3.62%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 23:40
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.24%E -3.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:31
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.74%E -4.20%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-07-08 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-07-08 23:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-08 22:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-08 22:30
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-08 23:39
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-08 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-08 23:35
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-07-08 23:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-07-08 23:40
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%2.8%2026-07-08 23:39