Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 9–1 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 57.88%1.73fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.79%57.91%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7162.50%60.17%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 42.12%2.37fair odd
EV -0.168%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.123%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.21%42.09%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3746.51%44.49%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 57.88%; Athletics (Visit): 42.12%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.374. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.370, with an expected value of -0.168%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.03%E -0.603%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:45
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.03%E -0.603%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 17:54
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.03%E -0.603%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:19
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.61%E -0.947%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -6.07%E -2.72%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.61%E -0.947%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -6.07%E -2.72%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.61%E -0.947%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:04
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.61%E -0.947%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:19
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 15:49
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:24
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.27%E -0.980%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:44
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 17:19
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:24
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:54
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:54
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:54
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:55
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.77%E -1.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:54
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.168%E -0.071%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.589%E -0.250%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 18:09
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.589%E -0.250%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 16:05
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:45
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:44
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:25
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:44
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:55
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:55
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.35%E -2.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:54
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.92%E -2.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.64%E -2.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:05
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.92%E -2.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:14
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.92%E -2.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:15
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.92%E -2.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 18:03
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:44
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:44
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:44
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:59
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.96%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 18:09
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:09
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:04
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:05
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 17:54
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.08%E -3.10%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.08%E -3.10%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.08%E -3.10%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.08%E -3.10%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:59
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 18:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 15:42
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:14
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.82%E -4.23%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.59%E -3.96%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:43
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.40%E -4.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:14
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.40%E -4.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:59
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.40%E -4.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 18:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-12 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-07-12 18:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-07-12 18:08
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-12 17:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-12 17:59
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 17:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 17:00
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-07-12 18:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-07-12 18:10
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-07-12 18:10