The School of Odds

Chicago White Sox v Athletics

2026-07-12 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 51.88%1.93fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.90%51.92%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.831.8956%54%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 48.12%2.08fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.10%48.08%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.992.0353%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 00:44
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 19:39
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 19:40
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 19:40
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 21:19
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.32%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 23:54
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 19:38
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:34
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:34
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.24%E -2.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:14
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:19
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.24%E -2.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:49
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:24
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:04
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:19
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:39
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:39
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:40
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:40
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 02:19
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:09
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:09
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:16
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:16
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:19
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 00:39
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 01:54
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 19:39
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 00:14
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 23:59
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 00:39
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 00:39
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:08
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:18
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:09
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.13%E -3.98%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.61%E -3.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 00:14
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.58%E -4.51%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-11 18:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-11 23:35
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-11 23:45
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-12 02:19
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-07-11 23:54
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%9.4%2026-07-12 02:30