La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

Inizio: 2026-06-20 18:21 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 6–8 Toronto Blue Jays

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 55.48%1.80quota equa
EV -0.133%
Vantaggio -0.074%
Kelly -0.166%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%55.45%55.56%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.12%58.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.52%2.25quota equa
EV +0.611%
Vantaggio +0.270%
Kelly +0.485%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.86%44.55%44.44%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.152.152.2648.78%46.62%46.51%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.611%E +0.270%K +0.485%G +0.003%1.7%2026-06-20 18:20
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.166%E +0.074%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-20 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.724%E -0.325%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.724%E -0.325%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:20
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.61%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 18:19
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.35%E -1.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.46%E -5.12%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 18:19
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 18:19
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 18:19
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 18:18
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:20
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.24%E -3.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.24%E -0.698%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 18:20
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.133%E -0.074%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-20 13:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 15:39
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 18:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:09
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:20
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:19
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:18
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 18:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 17:49
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 14:09
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:18
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 18:19
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.40%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 13:39
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.85%E -3.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 18:16
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 14:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 18:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-20 18:10
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-06-20 18:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 18:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 18:20
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-06-20 18:20
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-06-20 18:20
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-06-20 18:10