مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-06-20 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 6–8 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.48%1.80السعر العادل
EV -0.133%
الأفضلية -0.074%
Kelly -0.166%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.09%55.45%55.56%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.12%58.14%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.52%2.25السعر العادل
EV +0.611%
الأفضلية +0.270%
Kelly +0.485%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.86%44.55%44.44%45.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.152.152.2648.78%46.62%46.51%44.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.611%E +0.270%K +0.485%G +0.003%1.7%2026-06-20 18:20
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.166%E +0.074%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-20 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.724%E -0.325%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.724%E -0.325%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:20
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.61%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 18:19
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.35%E -1.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.46%E -5.12%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.06%E -0.936%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 18:19
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 18:19
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 18:19
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 18:18
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:20
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.24%E -3.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.24%E -0.698%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 18:20
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.133%E -0.074%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-20 13:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 15:39
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 18:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 18:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:09
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:20
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 18:19
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:19
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.73%E -2.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 18:18
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 18:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 17:49
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 14:09
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:18
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 18:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 18:19
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.40%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 13:39
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.85%E -3.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 18:16
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:20
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 14:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 18:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-20 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-20 18:10
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-06-20 18:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 18:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-20 18:20
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-06-20 18:20
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-06-20 18:20
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-06-20 18:10