Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-15 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 4–8 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 62.82%1.59odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.874%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.76%62.60%62.95%63.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.531.531.5767.57%65.29%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 37.18%2.69odd justa
EV -0.357%
Vantagem -0.133%
Kelly -0.213%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.59%37.40%37.05%39.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.532.552.6842.02%39.47%39.22%37.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 62.82%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 37.18%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.68, com valor esperado de -0.357%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -1.37%E -0.874%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -1.47%E -0.556%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-15 14:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.37%E -0.874%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.37%E -0.874%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 18:19
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%EV -1.10%E -0.414%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-15 17:44
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.47%E -0.556%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 18:14
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 18:19
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV -0.357%E -0.133%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.729%E -0.273%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 18:14
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.59%E -0.988%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 18:14
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:19
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.26%E -2.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.22%E -0.843%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.26%E -2.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.59%E -0.988%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.26%E -2.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:14
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.65%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.65%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -2.22%E -0.843%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:18
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.08%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:25
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -2.96%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 18:09
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.45%E -1.73%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.82%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.70%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:19
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:13
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.51%E -4.84%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:14
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-15 18:20
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-15 15:59
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-08-15 18:19