StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-15 18:21 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 4–8 St. Louis Cardinals

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 62.82%1.59faire Quote
EV -1.37%
Vorteil -0.874%
Kelly -2.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.76%62.60%62.95%63.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.481.531.531.5767.57%65.29%65.36%63.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Auswärts)

Prognose 37.18%2.69faire Quote
EV -0.357%
Vorteil -0.133%
Kelly -0.213%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.59%37.40%37.05%39.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.382.532.552.6842.02%39.47%39.22%37.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 62.82%; St. Louis Cardinals (Auswärts): 37.18%. Für St. Louis Cardinals (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.69. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.68, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.357%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -1.37%E -0.874%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -1.47%E -0.556%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-15 14:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.37%E -0.874%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.37%E -0.874%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 18:19
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%EV -1.10%E -0.414%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-15 17:44
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.47%E -0.556%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 18:14
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 18:19
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV -0.357%E -0.133%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.729%E -0.273%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.84%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 18:14
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.59%E -0.988%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 18:14
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:19
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.26%E -2.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.22%E -0.843%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.26%E -2.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.59%E -0.988%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.26%E -2.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:14
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.65%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.65%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -2.22%E -0.843%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:18
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.08%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:25
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.51%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -2.96%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 18:09
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.45%E -1.73%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.82%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.70%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:19
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:13
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.51%E -4.84%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-15 18:14
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-15 18:20
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-15 15:59
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-08-15 18:19