La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 56.81%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%56.80%56.85%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7462.50%59.79%59.88%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 43.19%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.670%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.516%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%43.20%43.15%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.222.3047.62%45.20%45.05%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 17:50 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 17:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.71%E -0.990%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 18:04 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.670%E -0.292%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 17:35 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 14:03 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 13:53 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.39%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.673%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -5.42%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.28%E -2.90%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.76I 56.82%NM 57.18% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.82% | -0.6% | 2026-04-11 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |