StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 18:21 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 56.81%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.14%
Vorteil -0.658%
Kelly -1.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.70%56.80%56.85%58.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.671.671.7462.50%59.79%59.88%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.19%2.32faire Quote
EV -0.670%
Vorteil -0.292%
Kelly -0.516%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.56%43.20%43.15%44.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.212.222.3047.62%45.20%45.05%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 56.81%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts): 43.19%. Für Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.32. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.30, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.670%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-11 17:50
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 17:50
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.71%E -0.990%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 17:59
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 18:04
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.670%E -0.292%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:35
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 13:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:03
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 13:53
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 06:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 16:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 18:20
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:50
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:50
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 18:20
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.39%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.673%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -5.42%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.28%E -2.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 57.18%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.82%-0.6%2026-04-11 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-11 18:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-11 18:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-04-11 18:20
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-04-11 17:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-11 18:20
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-04-11 18:20