Die Schule der Quoten

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 18:21 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 56.81%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.14%
Vorteil -0.658%
Kelly -1.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.70%56.80%56.85%58.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.601.671.671.7462.50%59.79%59.88%57.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.19%2.32faire Quote
EV -0.670%
Vorteil -0.292%
Kelly -0.516%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.56%43.20%43.15%44.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.102.212.222.3047.62%45.20%45.05%43.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-11 17:50
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 14:40
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 17:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.14%E -0.658%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 17:49
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.71%E -0.990%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 18:19
theScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 17:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 18:04
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.670%E -0.292%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 17:35
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 13:54
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:45
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:03
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:15
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 13:53
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:55
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 18:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 06:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 16:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:50
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:29
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.32%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 18:20
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:05
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:50
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:20
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:09
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 18:20
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.39%E -4.54%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.673%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -5.42%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.28%E -2.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 18:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:20
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 57.18%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.82%-0.6%2026-04-11 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-11 18:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-11 18:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-04-11 18:20
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-04-11 17:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-11 18:20
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-04-11 18:20