Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 65.08%1.54fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.94%65.01%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.461.5272.46%68.64%68.49%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 34.92%2.86fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.433%
Kelly +0.660%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%35.06%34.99%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.762.782.9040.82%36.29%35.97%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 65.08%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 34.92%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.25%E +0.433%K +0.660%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV +0.556%E +0.193%K +0.296%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-09-22 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.556%E +0.193%K +0.296%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.556%E +0.193%K +0.296%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 22:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.556%E +0.193%K +0.296%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.556%E +0.193%K +0.296%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +0.207%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-22 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +0.207%E +0.072%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-22 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-22 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.491%E -0.172%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -2.37%E -1.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -1.19%E -0.420%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-22 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -1.89%E -0.672%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-22 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -5.63%E -3.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -1.89%E -0.672%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.63%E -3.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.63%E -3.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.63%E -3.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 21:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.58%E -5.34%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -8.23%E -5.84%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -8.23%E -5.84%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.24%E -0.799%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.07%E -0.705%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -3.28%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-22 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 14:18 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -10.18%E -7.38%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.33%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.03%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.63%E -3.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 23:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -2.37%E -1.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -6.43%E -2.40%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-22 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.43%E -2.40%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.78%E -2.54%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 14:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.33%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.47%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.52%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-22 21:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.28%E -4.36%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.22%E -3.55%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 23:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.37%E -1.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -8.23%E -5.84%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -12.71%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.37%E -1.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -14.46%E -5.90%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 23:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.37%E -1.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -14.46%E -5.90%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-22 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-22 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-22 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-22 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-09-22 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45% | 2.6% | 2026-09-22 23:39 |