Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 65.70%1.52fair odd
EV -0.791%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.79%65.72%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.96%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 34.30%2.92fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.400%
Kelly +0.606%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.21%34.28%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.752.9539.22%36.12%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 65.70%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 34.30%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -4.08%E -2.79%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV +1.18%E +0.400%K +0.606%G +0.007% | 2.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -4.08%E -2.79%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV +1.18%E +0.400%K +0.606%G +0.007% | 2.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -4.08%E -2.79%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV +0.495%E +0.169%K +0.257%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.36%E -5.22%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.534%E -0.184%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.534%E -0.184%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.11%E -1.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.91%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.91%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.25%E -0.789%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.25%E -0.789%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.25%E -0.789%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -2.59%E -0.912%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.791%E -0.524%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-24 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.11%E -1.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-24 17:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.76%E -1.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.34%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.76%E -1.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.76%E -1.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.08%E -2.79%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.08%E -2.79%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.45%E -0.965%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.73%E -3.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -4.08%E -2.79%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -8.08%E -3.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.76%E -1.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.76%E -1.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.39%E -3.74%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49% | 3.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |