默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Dodgers

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 00:06 UTC

最终结果: Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 46.65%2.14公平赔率
EV +0.288%
优势 +0.134%
Kelly +0.251%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
44.74%46.66%46.75%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.92%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)

预测 53.35%1.87公平赔率
EV -0.761%
优势 -0.409%
Kelly -0.885%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.86

博彩公司预测分布
52.00%53.34%53.25%55.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.781.781.8658.82%56.08%56.18%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):46.65%;Los Angeles Dodgers (客队):53.35%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.14。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.15,对应+0.288%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.288%E +0.134%K +0.251%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 00:04
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.11%E -0.524%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-03 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.11%E -0.524%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 00:00
Caesars🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.11%E -0.524%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.58%E -0.748%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 23:59
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.43%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.30%E -5.47%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:59
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.98%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.44%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 23:34
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.44%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:05
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.44%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 00:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:50
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:50
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:49
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:49
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.761%E -0.409%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.761%E -0.409%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 00:05
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 05:19
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:59
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:19
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:25
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:23
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.31%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:39
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.31%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:40
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 00:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 23:59
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 00:04
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.23%E -4.79%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 23:49
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 00:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-03 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-03 23:45
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-03 23:15
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-04 00:05
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-04 00:05
BetOpenly◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-08-04 00:04
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-08-04 00:05
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.2%2026-08-04 00:05
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-08-03 23:50