Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Dodgers

Início: 2026-08-04 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 46.65%2.14odd justa
EV +0.288%
Vantagem +0.134%
Kelly +0.251%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%46.66%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.92%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.35%1.87odd justa
EV -0.761%
Vantagem -0.409%
Kelly -0.885%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.34%53.25%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.781.8658.82%56.08%56.18%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 46.65%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 53.35%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.288%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.288%E +0.134%K +0.251%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 00:04
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.11%E -0.524%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-03 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.11%E -0.524%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 00:00
Caesars🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.11%E -0.524%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.58%E -0.748%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 23:59
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.43%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.30%E -5.47%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:59
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.98%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.44%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 23:34
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.44%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:05
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.44%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 00:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:50
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:50
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:49
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:49
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.761%E -0.409%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.761%E -0.409%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 00:05
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 05:19
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:59
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:19
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:25
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:23
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.31%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:39
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.31%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:40
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 00:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 23:59
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 00:04
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.23%E -4.79%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 23:49
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 00:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-03 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-03 23:45
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-03 23:15
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-04 00:05
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-04 00:05
BetOpenly◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-08-04 00:04
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-08-04 00:05
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.2%2026-08-04 00:05
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-08-03 23:50