A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-05-23 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 0–3 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 57.12%1.75odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.07%57.14%58.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7261.73%59.63%59.52%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 42.88%2.33odd justa
EV +0.767%
Vantagem +0.326%
Kelly +0.568%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%42.93%42.86%44.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.232.232.3546.51%44.88%44.94%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV +0.767%E +0.326%K +0.568%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-23 17:49
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.38%E -0.599%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 18:19
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.38%E -0.599%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 15:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.38%E -0.599%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 11:19
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.81%E -0.788%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.81%E -0.788%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 18:19
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.23%E -0.980%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 18:07
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.23%E -0.980%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 17:49
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.23%E -0.980%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 17:49
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 17:49
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 13:39
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 17:47
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 17:49
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 17:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 17:48
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 18:19
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:19
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 07:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 07:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 07:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.32%E -3.86%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 07:39
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.95%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 17:49
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 17:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 13:40
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 17:48
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 18:19
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:19
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:19
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.24%E -2.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:00
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:47
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 17:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:09
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.32%E -3.86%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-23 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-23 18:20
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-05-23 18:19
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-23 18:20
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-05-23 18:19
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-23 18:09
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-23 17:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-23 18:00