مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros

البداية: 2026-05-23 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 0–3 Houston Astros

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.12%1.75السعر العادل
EV -1.75%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -2.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.84%57.07%57.14%58.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.681.681.7261.73%59.63%59.52%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Houston Astros (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.88%2.33السعر العادل
EV +0.767%
الأفضلية +0.326%
Kelly +0.568%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%42.93%42.86%44.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.232.232.3546.51%44.88%44.94%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV +0.767%E +0.326%K +0.568%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-23 17:49
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.38%E -0.599%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 18:19
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.38%E -0.599%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 15:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.38%E -0.599%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 11:19
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.81%E -0.788%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.81%E -0.788%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 18:19
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.23%E -0.980%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 18:07
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.23%E -0.980%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 17:49
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.23%E -0.980%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 17:49
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 17:49
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 13:39
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 17:47
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 17:49
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 17:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 17:48
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 18:19
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:19
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 07:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 07:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 07:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.32%E -3.86%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 07:39
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.95%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 17:49
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 17:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 13:40
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 17:48
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 18:19
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:19
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:19
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.24%E -2.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:00
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:47
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.04%E -2.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.75%E -3.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 17:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:09
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.90%E -1.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.47%E -2.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.32%E -3.86%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 17:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-23 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-23 18:20
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-05-23 18:19
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-23 18:20
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-05-23 18:19
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-23 18:09
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-23 17:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-23 18:00