The School of Odds

Chicago Cubs v Detroit Tigers

2026-07-23 00:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 51.30%1.95fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.46%51.32%52.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.791.841.841.9156%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 48.70%2.05fair odd
EV +0.819%
Edge +0.396%
Kelly +0.765%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.33%48.54%48.68%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.891.981.982.0753%51%51%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV +0.819%E +0.396%K +0.765%G +0.006%2.1%2026-07-21 18:40
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 19:00
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 19:00
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 00:35
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 01:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 01:00
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 18:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 18:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 18:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.08%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 19:25
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 01:25
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 01:24
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.62%E -3.05%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 01:25
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:25
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 19:20
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 01:25
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 01:25
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:25
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:25
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:25
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:50
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.05%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 01:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.05%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 01:25
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 01:25
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 01:25
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.18%E -4.57%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-07-22 01:20
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-22 01:24
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-07-22 01:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%8.1%2026-07-22 01:25