A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-07-22 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 11–2 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 52.56%1.90odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.632%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.65%52.63%54.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.801.8858.14%55.49%55.56%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 47.44%2.11odd justa
EV -0.375%
Vantagem -0.179%
Kelly -0.341%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.35%47.37%48.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.922.002.002.1052.08%49.99%50.00%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.19%E -0.632%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-21 23:35
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.71%E -0.916%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 19:10
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.80%E -0.869%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 22:50
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.80%E -0.869%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:55
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 00:04
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.375%E -0.179%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 00:00
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 01:55
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 23:05
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 06:50
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 05:25
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 05:29
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:04
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.32%E -0.637%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 00:05
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 23:10
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.59%E -2.81%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 06:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 19:05
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:04
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:05
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:15
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:04
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:05
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:38
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 23:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:05
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 23:54
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:05
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:05
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:05
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:05
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:05
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.49%E -4.26%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.49%E -4.26%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:05
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:05
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.60%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -8.91%E -4.64%K -9.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-21 23:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-21 14:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-21 23:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-22 00:05
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-22 00:05
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-21 23:45
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%4.0%2026-07-22 00:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 52.09%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.91%11.6%2026-07-22 00:05