L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 00:06 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 11–2 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 52.56%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.632%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%52.65%52.63%54.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.8858.14%55.49%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.44%2.11cote équitable
EV -0.375%
Avantage -0.179%
Kelly -0.341%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.91%47.35%47.37%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.002.002.1052.08%49.99%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.19%E -0.632%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-21 23:35
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.71%E -0.916%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 19:10
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.80%E -0.869%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 22:50
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.80%E -0.869%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:55
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 00:04
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.375%E -0.179%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 00:00
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 01:55
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 23:05
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 06:50
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 05:25
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 05:29
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:04
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.32%E -0.637%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 00:05
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 23:10
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.59%E -2.81%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 06:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.39%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 19:05
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:04
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:05
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:15
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:04
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:05
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 05:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:38
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 23:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:05
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 23:54
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.39%E -3.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:05
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:05
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:05
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:05
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:05
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.49%E -4.26%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.49%E -4.26%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:05
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.07%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:05
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.54%E -3.32%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 00:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.60%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -8.91%E -4.64%K -9.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-21 23:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-21 14:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-21 23:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-22 00:05
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-22 00:05
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-21 23:45
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%4.0%2026-07-22 00:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 52.09%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.91%11.6%2026-07-22 00:05