Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 5–4 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 66.25%1.51fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.25%66.39%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.441.4972.46%69.74%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 33.75%2.96fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.415%
Kelly +0.623%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%33.75%33.61%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.852.853.0037.74%35.03%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 66.25%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 33.75%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.25%E +0.415%K +0.623%G +0.008%3.3%2026-06-15 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.233%E +0.078%K +0.118%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-15 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.233%E +0.078%K +0.118%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-15 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.442%E -0.150%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.442%E -0.150%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.442%E -0.150%K -0.227%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 00:00
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -0.780%E -0.265%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-15 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -0.780%E -0.265%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -1.12%E -0.381%K -0.579%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:39
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.45%E -0.498%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 21:39
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -1.79%E -0.616%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 23:50
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 21:40
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 23:20
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 23:19
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 23:20
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:19
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV -1.29%E -0.862%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -2.80%E -0.974%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.80%E -0.974%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.80%E -0.974%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.80%E -0.974%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.48%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 21:40
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 23:19
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 23:59
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -4.49%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:10
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 23:39
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 22:10
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 21:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:29
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.19%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 00:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.57%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 23:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.40%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.60%0.2%2026-06-15 23:59
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-06-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-06-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-06-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-06-16 00:00
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-15 15:50
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-15 14:10
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%1.5%2026-06-15 23:00
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-06-16 00:00