Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 8–6 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 64.69%1.55fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%64.74%64.66%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5371.43%67.94%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 35.31%2.83fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.26%35.34%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.722.8038.46%36.81%36.76%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 64.69%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 35.31%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.03%E -0.671%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -3.60%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 23:49
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.19%E -0.789%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 00:00
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.95%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-18 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.13%E -0.402%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.13%E -0.402%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 22:19
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.13%E -0.402%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 23:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 21:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 21:30
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 21:00
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.61%E -2.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-17 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.61%E -2.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.95%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.61%E -2.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.95%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 23:58
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.61%E -2.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.13%E -0.402%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 22:10
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 21:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 21:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 22:50
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 22:50
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 22:50
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:50
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.95%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.95%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 21:20
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.80%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.80%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 21:30
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:40
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 21:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.20%E -4.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 00:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.48%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 21:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.50%E -5.24%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.44%E -6.74%K -23.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-18 00:00
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.23%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.77%0.2%2026-06-18 00:00
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-17 21:50
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-18 00:00
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-06-18 00:00