A Escola das Odds

Boston Red Sox v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-07-01 17:36 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 2–10 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 57.41%1.74odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%57.43%57.40%58.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.75%59.88%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 42.59%2.35odd justa
EV -0.755%
Vantagem -0.324%
Kelly -0.568%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.57%42.60%44.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.232.232.3346.51%44.82%44.84%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.26%E -0.734%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 17:00
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 15:10
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.01%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 17:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 16:10
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 16:10
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-01 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:19
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.98%E -1.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.755%E -0.324%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.98%E -1.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 14:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.98%E -1.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.42%E -3.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 17:30
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.74%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 15:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 15:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 15:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:09
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:40
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 16:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 23:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 19:59
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:20
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.01%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.42%E -3.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 17:20
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 16:10
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 17:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 14:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 14:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.57%E -3.49%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 17:08
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 15:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-01 17:30
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-01 15:39
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-01 17:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-01 17:30
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-01 17:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-07-01 17:30