L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 17:36 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 2–10 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 57.41%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.43%57.40%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.75%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.59%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.755%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -0.568%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.57%42.60%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.232.232.3346.51%44.82%44.84%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.26%E -0.734%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 17:00
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 15:10
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.01%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 17:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 16:10
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 16:10
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-01 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:19
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.98%E -1.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.755%E -0.324%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.98%E -1.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 14:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.98%E -1.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.42%E -3.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 17:30
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.74%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 15:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 15:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.14%E -3.28%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 15:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:09
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:40
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 16:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 23:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 19:59
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:20
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.01%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:30
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.71%E -2.84%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.42%E -3.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 17:20
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 16:10
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 17:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 14:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 14:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.57%E -3.49%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 17:08
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.03%E -0.884%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-01 17:30
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-01 15:39
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-01 17:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-01 17:30
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-01 17:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-07-01 17:30