The School of Odds

Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-07-25 20:11 UTC — MLB

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Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 52.15%1.92fair odd
EV -0.402%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.10%52.22%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9157%55%55%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 47.85%2.09fair odd
EV -0.942%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.90%47.78%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.981.992.0753%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.402%E -0.210%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.16%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 19:05
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.923%E -0.486%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:05
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.923%E -0.486%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 17:55
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.90%E -0.926%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 18:45
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 19:49
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.942%E -0.455%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 18:05
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 18:45
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 18:44
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 18:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 20:15
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 18:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 18:45
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 18:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.90%E -0.926%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 18:49
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 17:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 18:49
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 20:14
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.03%E -5.34%K -11.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%-0.1%2026-07-24 20:15
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-24 19:40
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-07-24 20:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%10.1%2026-07-24 18:45