Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 22:50 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 47.67%2.10fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.67%47.71%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.012.012.0751.55%49.73%49.63%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 52.33%1.91fair odd
EV -0.569%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.632%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.33%52.29%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.821.9056.50%54.94%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 47.67%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 52.33%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -0.569%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.33%E -0.641%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.66%E -1.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 22:30
Everygame🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.33%E -0.641%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.80%E -0.876%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 22:20
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 21:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 21:00
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.62%E -0.859%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:20
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:40
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.23%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.62%E -0.859%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:30
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.569%E -0.299%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 22:20
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 22:20
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 22:20
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 22:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 22:19
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:20
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.33%E -3.53%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.33%E -3.53%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:30
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.19%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 06:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 06:00
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 03:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 19:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 18:59
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 10:49
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 15:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 06:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 18:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:40
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 12:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 06:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 04:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 04:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 04:59
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 22:30
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.14%E -2.58%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.66%E -1.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.14%E -2.58%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 06:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.57%E -3.35%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.57%E -3.35%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.61%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 03:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.05%E -3.61%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.05%E -3.61%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 20:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-06-16 22:28
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-16 21:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-16 22:40
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-06-16 22:30
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.4%2026-06-16 22:40