Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.93
assuming max odds 2.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 51.68%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 48.32%. For Boston Red Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -0.259%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -0.259%E -0.134%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-17 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.776%E -0.404%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-17 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.81%E -0.952%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.81%E -0.952%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.81%E -0.952%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-17 22:51 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.84%E -1.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 22:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 22:57 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -0.942%E -0.460%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.942%E -0.460%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.49%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -10.08%E -5.79%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -10.08%E -5.79%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-06-17 22:58 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.14% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.86% | 12.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |