Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 23:21 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 4–6 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 51.56%1.94fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.52%51.61%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.01%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 48.44%2.06fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.48%48.39%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.971.972.0453.48%50.73%50.76%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 51.56%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 48.44%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.51%E -0.792%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.42%E -5.04%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 23:20
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 20:40
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.19%E -0.584%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 23:19
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.68%E -0.825%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 23:00
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 23:00
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.19%E -0.584%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.68%E -0.825%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 23:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-14 19:40
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-14 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 23:20
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 23:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 19:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.07%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.07%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 19:49
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:19
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 23:20
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.97%E -4.20%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 23:08
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 23:20
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 23:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.07%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.07%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.52%E -3.38%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.52%E -3.38%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 21:00
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.61%E -1.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 23:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 19:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.70%E -4.30%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 23:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-06-14 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-14 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-14 23:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-14 23:20
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.27%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.73%1.2%2026-06-14 23:20
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-06-14 23:20
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-06-14 23:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-14 23:20
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-06-14 23:20