The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 22:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 56.50%1.77fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.51%56.50%58.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.36%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 43.50%2.30fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.585%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.90%43.49%43.50%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.202.3347.62%45.09%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 56.50%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 43.50%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +1.36%E +0.585%K +1.02%G +0.014%2.4%2026-05-09 12:44
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.058%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 19:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.058%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 19:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.22%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.22%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 19:39
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.812%E -0.356%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.70%E -0.975%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 19:39
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 19:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 05:24
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:39
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:39
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.70%E -0.975%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.55%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 19:44
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 19:54
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:59
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.70%E -0.975%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 19:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.86%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.86%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 19:54
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 19:29
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:54
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:59
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:29
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:44
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.73%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.73%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:54
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:49
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:58
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 19:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.22%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-05-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-09 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-09 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-09 20:04
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-09 20:09
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-09 19:29
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-05-09 20:04
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-05-09 19:59
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%3.0%2026-05-09 20:10
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%3.9%2026-05-09 20:08