Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 57.83%1.73fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.76%57.81%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.651.7161.73%60.37%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -0.910%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.674%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%42.24%42.19%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.262.3546.51%44.13%44.25%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 57.83%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 42.17%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.910%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.10%E -0.645%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.68%E -0.989%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.33%E -0.569%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 17:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-10 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.34%E -4.35%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.910%E -0.387%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.75%E -0.753%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.75%E -0.753%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.18%E -0.938%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.18%E -0.938%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 16:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 16:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.55%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.55%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |