The School of Odds

Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-07-19 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 53.16%1.88fair odd
EV -0.059%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.92%53.08%53.25%54.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.791.8858%56%56%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 46.84%2.13fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%46.92%46.75%48.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.962.032.032.1051%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.059%E -0.032%K -0.068%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.91%E -2.42%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 20:45
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.12%E -0.604%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 19:20
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.65%E -0.894%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 21:30
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.65%E -0.894%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 21:30
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.65%E -0.894%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 21:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.72%E -1.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:19
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.72%E -1.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 21:20
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 17:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 20:25
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 19:25
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:15
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.91%E -2.42%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:24
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 19:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 19:24
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.84%E -2.71%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.84%E -2.71%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.45%E -2.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:25
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 20:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.64%E -0.779%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 21:04
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 20:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:35
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 20:21
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 20:24
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.19%E -4.18%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 20:25
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.19%E -4.18%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-18 20:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-18 19:55
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-07-18 21:25
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%10.0%2026-07-18 20:25
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 52.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.06%12.4%2026-07-18 21:20