Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-09-02 20:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 3–8 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 57.22%1.75odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.579%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.97%57.08%57.33%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.671.671.7363.69%59.87%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 42.78%2.34odd justa
EV -0.332%
Vantagem -0.142%
Kelly -0.250%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.92%42.67%45.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.252.3347.62%44.77%44.44%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 57.22%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 42.78%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.33, com valor esperado de -0.332%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.00%E -0.579%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.90%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.00%E -0.579%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.57%E -0.916%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.62%E -0.702%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 20:10
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.04%E -0.892%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 19:50
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.62%E -0.702%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.04%E -0.892%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.04%E -0.892%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 19:55
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-02 19:54
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.74%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:10
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 20:04
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.332%E -0.142%K -0.250%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 19:55
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.03%E -3.74%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:10
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.29%E -1.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.03%E -3.74%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 19:40
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 18:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 19:53
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 19:55
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.62%E -0.702%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.62%E -0.702%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.62%E -0.702%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 20:00
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:45
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:55
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 19:54
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.47%E -2.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 20:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:14
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:35
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:34
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 20:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 20:00
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 20:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 19:59
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.03%E -3.74%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.30%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.30%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.30%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.30%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.03%E -3.74%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 19:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.62%E -0.702%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 19:35
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-09-02 20:05
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-02 20:10
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-09-02 20:10
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-02 19:30
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-02 18:15
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-09-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-09-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-09-02 20:10
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-09-02 20:10