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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners

2026-09-02 20:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 55.22%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%55.20%55.23%55.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.731.731.7760.24%57.89%57.80%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 44.78%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%44.80%44.77%46.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.142.2048.78%46.89%46.73%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 55.22%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 44.78%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.23. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.20, con un valor esperado de -1.49%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.49%E -0.677%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 01:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.49%E -0.677%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 01:15
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.49%E -0.677%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 04:54
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.94%E -0.885%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 04:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 01:10
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 01:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.94%E -0.885%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.28%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 20:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 03:30
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 04:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 04:20
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.28%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 04:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.28%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 04:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 20:15
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 20:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.62%E -2.17%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 02:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:04
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 02:59
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:29
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 23:55
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 04:30
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 04:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 04:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 04:30
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 04:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:25
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:23
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:35
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:05
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 04:30
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 03:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 20:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 04:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 04:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 20:55
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.33%E -5.02%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.76%E -3.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 04:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-09-02 04:55
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-02 03:10
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-01 20:05
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-02 04:55
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%4.3%2026-09-02 04:45
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%9.6%2026-09-02 00:10