La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 44.89%2.23momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.445%
Kelly +0.801%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%44.86%44.73%46.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.26%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 55.11%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.801%
Ventaja -0.445%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%55.14%55.27%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.711.8060.61%58.31%58.48%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| GTbets | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.794%E -0.359%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| BetUS | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.801%E -0.445%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 22:38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.35%E -0.755%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 22:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| ReBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 22:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 20:40 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.39%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Bovada | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.18%E -2.96%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.90%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 22:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:44 |
| Betsson | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 22:44 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 21:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| Novig | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| BetOpenly | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |