مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boston Red Sox v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-12 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Boston Red Sox 1–2 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boston Red Sox (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.89%2.23السعر العادل
EV +1.00%
الأفضلية +0.445%
Kelly +0.801%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.31%44.86%44.73%46.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.26%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.11%1.81السعر العادل
EV -0.801%
الأفضلية -0.445%
Kelly -1.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.48%55.14%55.27%57.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.711.8060.61%58.31%58.48%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-12 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:00
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.00%E +0.445%K +0.801%G +0.008%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:00
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.794%E -0.359%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 22:35
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 22:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 19:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.24%E -0.565%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:19
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:35
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:35
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.69%E -0.773%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.14%E -0.982%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 22:35
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.801%E -0.445%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:38
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.35%E -0.755%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 22:44
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 22:40
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 22:45
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 22:35
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:45
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 20:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 22:40
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.39%E -2.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.21%E -3.03%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:40
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.28%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:34
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:35
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 22:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.73%E -2.73%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.18%E -2.96%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.90%E -1.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.63%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 22:44
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:44
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 22:45
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 22:44
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 22:45
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.66%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 22:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.22%E -5.11%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 22:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-12 22:35
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-05-12 22:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 21:45
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%1.3%2026-05-12 22:45
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.4%2026-05-12 22:45
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-05-12 22:39