Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 22:46 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–4 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV -0.959%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.820%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.57%45.73%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.112.1749.50%47.40%47.39%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 54.36%1.84fair odd
EV +0.565%
Edge +0.305%
Kelly +0.664%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%54.43%54.27%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.741.8559.17%57.22%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 45.64%; New York Yankees (Visit): 54.36%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.565%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.21%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.565%E +0.305%K +0.664%G +0.004%1.9%2026-04-22 20:55
Everygame🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.523%E -0.286%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 21:00
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.79%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.61%E -0.889%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-22 21:45
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 22:40
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.79%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.79%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-22 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.81%E -3.86%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 20:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 21:25
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 20:09
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 20:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 22:30
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.959%E -0.442%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 22:44
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.61%E -2.21%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 20:10
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.52%E -2.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 21:15
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.52%E -2.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 21:15
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 20:10
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 22:39
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 20:20
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 21:15
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 20:20
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 22:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 22:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 20:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:19
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:44
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:45
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:45
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:45
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:45
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:45
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 20:10
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 21:49
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 22:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.96%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 20:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:44
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.59%E -4.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.59%E -4.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:42
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.87%E -0.871%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.13%E -4.81%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-22 22:44
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-22 22:44
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-04-22 22:45
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-22 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-22 22:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-22 20:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-22 21:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-04-22 22:30