Language:English
Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 50.53%1.98fair odd
EV +0.552%
Edge +0.277%
Kelly +0.557%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.10%50.48%50.53%51.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.891.9954.64%52.80%52.91%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 49.47%2.02fair odd
EV -0.562%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.557%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.67%49.52%49.47%50.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.922.0153.48%51.93%52.08%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 50.53%; New York Yankees (Visit): 49.47%. For Boston Red Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.552%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV +0.552%E +0.277%K +0.557%G +0.003% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV +0.552%E +0.277%K +0.557%G +0.003% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV +0.552%E +0.277%K +0.557%G +0.003% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.97%E -1.02%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.04%E -1.55%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.48%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.06%E -0.528%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.48%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.55%E -0.780%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 23:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -0.562%E -0.280%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-28 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-28 21:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.04%E -1.55%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.02%E -3.23%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.02%E -3.23%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.02%E -3.23%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.52%E -3.53%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.52%E -3.53%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 23:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.52%E -3.53%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.99%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.72%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-28 22:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 0.0% | 2026-06-28 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 22:48 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 19:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.8% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-06-28 23:20 |