Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 17:36 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 5–2 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 61.31%1.63fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.28%61.44%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.22%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV +0.602%
Edge +0.232%
Kelly +0.377%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.72%38.56%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.73%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 61.31%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 38.69%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.602%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV +0.602%E +0.232%K +0.377%G +0.002%2.2%2026-09-07 17:15
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV +0.216%E +0.083%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.171%E -0.066%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.171%E -0.066%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.14%E -1.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -0.945%E -0.369%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:35
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.52%E -1.59%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.33%E -0.522%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 04:10
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.33%E -0.522%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 11:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.33%E -0.522%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.30%E -0.805%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 12:34
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.14%E -1.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 17:04
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 17:25
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.14%E -1.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 17:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 09:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:29
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:15
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 17:15
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.65%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.91%E -1.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.91%E -1.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 15:59
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 17:34
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 12:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:34
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 16:18
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:04
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 12:34
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.36%E -2.63%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.36%E -2.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.36%E -2.63%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.91%E -1.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:34
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.14%E -1.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.14%E -1.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:19
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.91%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.68%E -3.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 17:08
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.07%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.07%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.43%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.07%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:23
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-07 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-07 17:35
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-07 17:33
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-09-07 17:30
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-07 17:35
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-07 17:35
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-07 13:05
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-07 00:35
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-09-07 17:35