Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-24 22:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 55.53%1.80fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.58%55.38%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.721.7861.73%58.30%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 44.47%2.25fair odd
EV +0.055%
Edge +0.025%
Kelly +0.044%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.42%44.62%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.81%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Boston Red Sox (Local): 55.53%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 44.47%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.249. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.250, producing a positive expected value of +0.055%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.055%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-24 04:23
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 03:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.37%E -5.08%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 05:25
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 03:14
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.15%E -0.649%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-24 06:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 03:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 03:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 03:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 03:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.82%E -1.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 02:45
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 02:49
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:15
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:15
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:15
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:15
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.82%E -1.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 04:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 02:45
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 03:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 06:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 03:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 03:15
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 04:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 03:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 03:15
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 03:15
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 05:20
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 03:14
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 03:14
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 03:14
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 03:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.84%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 03:19
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 02:49
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 04:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 04:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 04:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 03:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 03:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.17%E -2.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 06:48
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.966%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 04:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.82%E -1.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 02:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 02:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 02:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 02:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 02:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 04:50
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 02:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.82%E -1.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.50%E -3.61%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 05:20
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.37%E -5.08%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.50%E -3.61%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-24 03:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.82%E -4.71%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-24 03:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.04%E -6.20%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-24 03:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-09-24 06:35
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-24 04:25
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-24 04:25
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-24 04:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-24 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-24 06:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-24 06:30
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-09-24 07:05
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-09-24 04:50
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-09-24 03:15